I continue to argue that one of the best energy headlines ever released in 2011: “Electric Vehicle Lies, Lies, and Predictions.”
Indeed, released just a few weeks ago, JD Power’s Mobility Confidence Index shows that Americans still aren’t exactly in love with the machines that we’re supposed to assume will end the century of oil domination in transportation.
Consumers are not as optimistic about the future of plug-in cars and self-driving vehicles as analysts and the media claim.
Among other concerns, electric cars are too expensive, rely on a precarious supply chain (some immorally use child labor), lack a significant used car market, and have worrisome problems at close range. . “24 Things Wrong With Electric Cars Millennials Choose To Ignore.”
JD Power finds that only 39% of Americans would buy an electric car and 51% do not consider electric cars as reliable as petroleum-based ones.
On a scale of 100, electric cars scored a Confidence in Mobility Index of 55, with self-driving cars scoring even lower at 36 points.
The time to charge an electric car and the distance traveled by the charge were cited as the biggest issues.
Electric cars are really just toys for the rich: “Electric car subsidies hurt middle class Americans.”
Indeed, even with huge tax breaks to encourage their adoption, the United States still has just over a million electric cars, compared to over 250 million petroleum cars.
They will have to fight for it.
Already massively entrenched in America’s huge energy complex, fossil fuels “surely won’t go smoothly on this good night.”
They will rage.
Another big point to remember: renewable energies and electric cars will not be in competition with coal, oil and gas as they are now but …as they will become.
Oil cars, for example, evolve as quickly as electric cars: “Reports Of The Death Of Oil’s ICE Are Greatly Exaggerated. “
The reality is that the “transportation revolution” may not be based on electricity at all.
So the assumption that they will surely win the new one seems too presumptuous.
Most Americans probably don’t realize that almost 40% of American cars in 1900 were electric, only to be beaten by oil.
In any case, more electrification and more electric cars will obviously increase electricity needs, increasingly dominated by natural gas.
“Non-stop records for natural gas-based electricity in the United States.”
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